• With exceptional investor demand​..re-opening of two versions of Saudi instruments and coverage exceeding 19 times​

    25/08/2020


    The Saudi government re-opened "the medium and long-term" dual-tranche Sukuk, the returns of which ranged between 2.13 and 3 percent, according to a document obtained by Al-Eqtisadiah.​

    The issuance was covered more than 19 times for the original required amount, as the volume of applications reached 9.8 billion riyals compared to the actual issuance size of 500 million riyals, according to the calculations of the reporting unit in the "Al-Eqtisadiah" newspaper.
    Investors ’appetite for the Saudi government’s issuance was reflected in the pricing aspects of the auction for savings bonds, as a reliable source revealed that some investors had to change their policy while submitting investment applications with fixed income instruments.
    Instead of investors placing their requests at the highest ceiling of the rate of return for each segment, they were forced to place them at the low levels of the cap rates of the rates of return of the two tranches, in order to ensure that they obtain the required allocation due to the limited volume of issuance, and due to the high competition among institutional investors to obtain a portion One of those highly creditworthy securities.
    On the other hand, another source with extensive knowledge of the issuance stated that the reason for not meeting all investor requests is due to the diversity of financing channels and options available for the sovereign issuance, as well as previous borrowing operations that took place during the first half of this year as previously planned.​
    An analysis of the pricing aspect of the local issue by the newspaper revealed that the National Center for Debt Management, on behalf of the Ministry of Finance, adopted a bold and strict pricing policy that ultimately enabled it to pressure the credit margins of the binary segments to reflect positively on the state treasury by achieving what specialists describe in income markets. Fixed "saving in financing cost".
    The total offering in August reached 500 million riyals, which the government finished marketing to investors by the end of last week, and the offering was settled on Monday of this week (yesterday), while the current month’s offering saw the reopening of eight-year bonds and the reopening of maturity bonds. 15 years old​
    The return on debt instruments denominated in local currencies is declining around the world, with central banks moving to reduce the interest rate and apply unprecedented monetary stimuli to limit the economic repercussions of the Coronavirus.
    In the same context, an observation of the Economic Reports Unit concluded that there is no price premium on the savings Sukuk maturing in 2028 and 2035, respectively. Rather, the final return for the eight-year and 15-year maturities segments came less than the initial expectations of debt market dealers, before the range of profit rates was issued. Between more than 14 percent and 19 percent.​
    This is a positive matter for the state treasury and consistent with the current revenue components of local currency issuances in emerging markets in light of the low-interest environment, bearing in mind that local investors obtained generous periodic dividends with government issuances that took place in 2018 due to market conditions at the time.
    The inclusion of debt instruments in the same year 2018 contributed to building an active yield curve for domestic issues, which enables the issuer to determine the fair value of the pricing of the securities to be offered to investors.​

     Version Returns
    The August issue was distributed on two equal tranches with a return to the maturity date for the eight-year Sukuk at 2.13 percent, according to the issuance price in the secondary market at 1013 riyals.
    Whereas, the yield to maturity of the 15-year-old Sukuk was 3 percent, according to the price traded on the local stock exchange, which reached 1014 riyals during the offering.
    The activity of sovereign proposals denominated in riyals is the bright spot for Saudi Arabia in the sky of global Islamic finance due to the huge size of these proposals.
    For example, according to a report by Standard & Poor's, Saudi Arabia ranked second in the performance of the global Sukuk industry at the end of 2019, when the total issuance of Saudi entities reached $ 29 billion.​

    ​Local offering​
    In a statement late last week, the Ministry of Finance stated that it had completed receiving investors' requests for its domestic issuance for the current month under the Saudi government's Sukuk program in riyals, where the volume of issuance was set at a total amount of 500 million riyals.
    The ministry explained that the issuances were divided into two tranches, the first amounting to 100 million riyals, so the final size of the tranche is 6.125 billion Saudi riyals for Sukuk maturing in 2028, and the second tranche amounts to 400 million riyals, so the final size of the tranche is 13.515 billion riyals for Sukuk maturing in 2035​.


    Dutch auction
    Since July 2018, an auction methodology has been used that the IMF believes will give a degree of flexibility to the pricing mechanisms of new domestic issues.
    The July 2018 issue (seventh edition) saw the application of this methodology for the first time with debt instruments in the Kingdom, as Saudi Arabia uses the “Dutch auction” which is the “same” auction that the US Treasury uses when it sells its bonds.
    With the help of one of the "Bloomberg" products for auction, the primary dealers were granted a "specific ceiling price" that they could not bid on (the price cap), as the "final pricing" was at or below the same or below the pricing ceiling, and the primary dealers were required to submit subscription requests Of their own as well as of their customers​.
    This auction mechanism differs from the pricing methodology that was used in the past and revolves around determining a specific pricing range, i.e. a higher limit, a middle and a lower limit, and they are asked to price between this range and then the final price is determined by the issuer.


    The Yield curve​
    The yield curve is defined as a line that determines the interest on debt instruments at a specific time in which the issuer possesses balanced creditworthiness, but it varies in terms of maturity, as there is, for example, an interest difference between Sukuk and bonds for five years and for 30 years.
    The yield curve usually takes an upward trend, which is the normal curve, but when it is reversed, it is that the yield on the shorter-term bonds is higher than the yield on their longer-term counterparts.
    Saudi Arabia enjoys a natural yield curve, whether with its local or hard currency-denominated issuances and since 2019 it has succeeded in extending the maturities of Sukuk in the local market through new issues of 12, 15 and 30 years in order to complete the risk-free yield curve, which contributes to supporting various markets, including debt markets ​real estate​.
    The same thing was repeated in 2020 when it saw its dollar issuance of maturities of seven years and 12 years and for the first time a bracket of 35 years, all of which came during separate maturities, contributing at the same time to prolonging the period of those maturities in accordance with the state's public debt management policy.


    Individual participation​
    ​The issuance of the current month is expected to boost the stock of savings bonds available for individual investments in the secondary market.
    The decision to activate the reduction of the face value of the listed government Sukuk to be accessible to individuals, starting in June 2019, means that Saudi Arabia has opened the way for its citizens to participate in supporting development projects in the country, in a progressive step in line with many countries around the world that follow this approach.
    The economic reforms that spread over fixed income markets in the Kingdom contributed to making the issue of individuals investing in Sukuk possible after reducing the face value of the Sukuk to one thousand riyals compared to one million riyals previously.​



    ​*Economic Reports Unit​











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